Although a scenario can’t predict the future, a scenario planning approach to what may happen can put the planner in a position in which he / she is prepared to face a number of possible futures.
There is a significant difference between predicting the future and preparing for the future. Predicting for the future is more than likely to be based on the past and what is happening now, then predicting what is most likely to happen based of these two factors. It is almost a ‘putting all of your eggs in one basket approach’, with one outcome being considered, and all resourcing and strategic planning focused on that one outcome eventuating.
Preparing for the future suggests the planner being ready for a number of possible future outcomes. No one can be sure of what the future holds, but steps can be put in place to be ready to meet the effects of events that may take place. Scenario planning gives the planner a degree of confidence that they have some control over what the future may have in store.